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Why buying Real estate in Spain in 2014 ?

19.3

Spanish Property Doctor Mark Stücklin says prices in some prime areas of Spain are set to rise modestly in 2014, but, for now, values in some less desirable areas have halved

Values of some prime property in Spain could rise next year, a leading market commentator predicts.

Mark Stücklin, who is known as the Spanish Property Doctor and runs the www.spanishpropertyinsight.com website, says the Spanish property market is at last bottoming out.

He tells OPP Connect, “I think that in retrospect we will look back on 2013 as the bottom of the market in terms of transactions. Even so, I expect average prices to continue falling next year thanks to the oversupply of homes on the market.

“But prime property on the coast and in the big cities will not go down any more. I think we could even see modest gains next year in some segments.”

The Spanish market will benefit from the recent move by The European Central Bank (ECB) to lower the Eurozone base rate to a historic low of 0.25%, he says.

“Lower rates reduce the cost of money to lenders and will make it easier and more attractive for them to lend to the Spanish property sector and home buyers. This should mean at least a bit more liquidity in the housing market, though there will be no rapid turnaround.”

The latest data from agent Tecnocasa shows its prime property prices are now stable, but, in the cities and regional capital price falls have accelerated in the past 12 months.

Prices of older flats in buildings without a lift in the province of Castellón, part of the Valencian Community, home to the Costa del Azahar – one of the most attractive and least exploited coastal regions of Spain – fell by more than half, from €800-€300 per square metre, leaving them well-below replacement costs.

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Prices also fell by 50% in Huesca, Aragon, (pictured) from €800-€400 per square metre and by a third in Galicia’s La Coruña, from €1,650-€1,100 per square metre and in the attractive city of Teruel, in Aragon, once featured as a potential investment hotspot by A Place In The Sun, from €900-€600 per square metre.

Although house prices fell by 10-20% in most Spanish cities, they held steady in the prime areas including Madrid’s Calle Serrano at €10,500 per square metre, Barcelona’s Paseo de Gracia, at €8,500 per square metre and Marbella’s Puerto Banus at €5,250 per square metre.

But there the move by the ECB to lower the Eurozone bank rate is likely to stoke up demand, says Mr Stücklin.

The 12-month Euribor rate, most commonly used to calculate Spanish mortgage repayments also dropped from 0.534% to 0.506%, its biggest one-day fall in two years.

“In the very short-term, nothing will change, as Spanish lenders continue with their agenda of hoarding cash and reducing exposure to real estate. But after five years were are approaching the end of that story, and experts forecast that lenders will start to open up the credit taps a bit in 2014, albeit on a selective basis. Lower base rates will make it easier for the banks to lend.”

Gonzalo Bernardos, a professor at the University of Barcelona and leading authority on Spain’s property sector, expects cheaper money to stimulate sales. He does not forecast a sudden rebound in house prices, but believes they will stabilise.

“The expectation that house prices have touched bottom will start to take hold,” he says. “People who can’t buy a house today because they can’t get credit, or it’s too expensive, will be able to do so in 2014.”

*Overseas mortgage specialist Conti believes confidence is returning to the Spanish property sector as demand from British investors has substantially increased.

In November alone, Spain has so far accounted for 43 per cent of enquiries received at Conti, higher than any other country including France. The story was similar in September and October, with Spain outperforming any other destination.

Clare Nessling, Director at Conti, says, “This is the first time since 2008 that Spain has accounted for so many of our enquiries over so many months. It was very popular over the summer period, but there’s been a definite shift over the last six weeks in particular.

“A number of factors are pulling buyers in. Tourism is booming, access is easy and the culture is familiar, but it has also become much more affordable – mortgage rates are very low, the pound has been getting stronger, and prices are still bottoming out in some areas.

“It’s a great time to buy and people who have been putting their plans on hold for the last year or two are taking advantage of the favourable conditions open to them, and deciding to go for it.”

The recent approval of Spain’s ‘golden visa’ offered to non-European Union residents on purchases of property over €500,000 is also providing a welcome boost.

Estate agents in Spain are also reporting increased activity. Peter Birkett, from agent Property Repossessions Spain, at www.propertyrepossessionsspain says, “After a very difficult few years, prices are starting to creep back up in some areas, and people who have been watching the market are putting their plans into action in case they end up missing out on the best possible deals.

“I’ve recently sold properties to British buyers who have been holding out for the last three years, but the current market conditions have convinced them to make the purchase. Confidence amongst UK buyers is definitely returning, with the Costa Blanca, the Costa Almeria and the Murcia area proving to be very popular.”

Mr Birkett says there are bargains to be had at the moment. “We have a two-bed, two bathroom property in Almeria on our books at the moment with a sale price of €65,500, down from an original asking price of €298,000. Bargains like this won’t last forever.”

Spanish lenders are still willing to provide finance to foreign nationals, particularly for those with a sound financial profile. Applicants can generally borrow up to 65% of the value of the property and rates start from 3.23%, says Conti.

Neighborhoods of Barcelona